A Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm Might Form in the Gulf of Mexico
TreasureCoast, Fl- There is an increasing chance low pressure may develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm late in the week ahead in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Locally heavy rain will soak parts of the Gulf Coast and Southeast regardless of whether the low develops.
Computer forecast models over the past several days have shown that an upper-level disturbance meteorologists called a mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) will move from the Deep South into the northeast Gulf of Mexico early this week.
These swirling areas a few thousand feet above the ground are produced by thunderstorm clusters. Because they already have spin, moisture and energy, they can occasionally become tropical systems once over water.
As this occurs, a weak cold front will glide through the South. Then it will stall out off the Southeast coast to the northern Gulf of Mexico.
These old frontal boundaries with converging winds often serve as breeding grounds for tropical development early in the hurricane season.