Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven will bring rain and gusty winds
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for portions of the central Gulf Coast from the Alabama-Florida border westward to east of Morgan City, Louisiana.
A tropical wave in the Bahamas has a good chance of developing as it heads into the northern Gulf next week. It’s possible we could have a land falling tropical system Tuesday or Wednesday.
The disturbance is expected to become a tropical depression Monday morning and a tropical storm by Monday evening.
Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven [aka Gordon] will bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven [aka Gordon] will bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Bahamas, South Florida and the Florida Keys tonight and Monday, and interests in those area should monitor the progress of this system,” the Hurricane Center said in a 5 p.m. advisory. “Interests in the Florida Keys and the Southern Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.”, South Florida and the Florida Keys tonight and Monday, and interests in those area should monitor the progress of this system,” the Hurricane Center said in a 5 p.m. advisory. “Interests in the Florida Keys and the Southern Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.”
WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for portions of the central Gulf Coast from the Alabama-Florida border westward to east of Morgan City, Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for… * Alabama-Florida border westward to east of Morgan City, Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas Interests in the Florida Keys and the southern Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
On the forecast track, the disturbance will pass over the Florida Keys Monday afternoon, emerge over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by Monday evening, and reach the central Gulf Coast by Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the disturbance is expected to become a tropical depression Monday morning and a tropical storm by Monday evening. Conditions appear to be conducive for development, and this system is expected to become a tropical depression by Monday morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent The estimated minimum central pressure is 1012 mb (29.89 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Tuesday night and Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force wind gusts will be possible Monday afternoon and evening across portions of South Florida and the Florida Keys.
RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the central and northwestern Bahamas, the Florida Keys, and South Florida through early Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches are possible over the southern Florida peninsula. This rainfall may cause flash flooding.
The disturbance is expected to produce heavy rainfall along the central Gulf Coast of the United States by the middle of the week.
